Housing Will, However, Be A Key Driver Of Growth As Consumer Confidence Increases: TREBB
TORONTO: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board President Michael Collins has released the following key housing market statistics for May 2020:
TRREB MLS® System Sales and New Listings
• Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 4,606 sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in May 2020.
This result was down by 53.7 per cent compared to May 2019.
• While the number of sales was down substantially on a year-over-year basis due to the continued impact of COVID-19, the decline was less than the 67.1 per cent year-over-year decline reported for April 2020.
• On a month-over-month basis, actual and seasonally adjusted May sales were up substantially compared to April. Actual May 2020 sales increased by 55.2 per cent compared to April 2020. After accounting for the regular seasonal increase that is experienced each year between April and May, seasonally adjusted sales were up by 53.2 per cent month-over-month.
• The number of new listings entered into TRREB’s MLS® System in May was down by a similar annual rate to that of sales, dipping by 53.1 per cent to 9,104. On a month-over-month basis, actual new listings were up by 47.5 per cent.
“While the public health and economic concerns surrounding COVID-19 continue to impact the housing market, the May sales result represented a marked improvement over April. TRREB released updated Ipsos consumer intentions polling results in May that indicated that 27 per cent of GTA households were likely to purchase a home over the next year. Providing we continue to see a gradual re-opening of the economy, it is very possible that home sales will continue to improve in the coming months,” said Mr. Collins.
“As we move toward recovery, the housing sector will be a key driver of growth as consumer confidence increases and more households look to take a dvantage of very low borrowing costs. It will be important for policy makers at all levels of government to continue, and indeed enhance their efforts to bring on line a greater diversity of ownership and rental housing supply. This will help avoid the pace of home price growth accelerating to unsustainable levels,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.
• The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark price was virtually unchanged in May 2020 compared to April 2020. On a year-over-year basis, the composite benchmark was up by 9.4 per cent.
• The average selling price for all home types combined was up by three per cent compared to May 2019 to $863,599. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price was up by 4.6 per cent monthover- month compared April 2020.
• The difference in year-over-year growth between the MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark and the average selling price was related to the fact that home sales in the City of Toronto, particularly in the detached segment, were down by a greater annual rate than overall sales in the GTA. This resulted in a compositional impact on the overall average selling price.
“With home sales and new listings continuing to trend in unison in May, market conditions remainedbalanced. This balance was evidenced by year-over-year average price growth slightly above the Bank of Canada’s long-term target for inflation.
If current market conditions are sustained during the gradual reopening of the GTA economy, a moderate pace of year-over-year price growth could continue as we move through the spring and summer months,” said Jason Mercer, TRREB’s Chief Market Analyst. Condominium Apartment Rental Market.
• One-bedroom and two-bedroom condominium apartment rental transactions were lower in May 2020 compared to May 2019. The number of one-bedroom rentals was down by 30.8 per cent to 1,290. The number of two-bedroom rentals was down by 26.7 per cent to 820.
• However, similar to home sales, there was a marked improvement in rental transactions between April 2020 and May 2020. The number of one-bedroom rentals, at 1,290, was well-above the 754 mark for April. Similarly, the number of two-bedroom rentals, at 820, was well-above 489 rentals for April.
• On a year-over-year basis, average condominium apartment rents continued to be lower than last year’s levels in April. The average one-bedroom rent was $2,086 in May 2020 – down by 5.1 per cent compared to May 2019. The average two-bedroom rent was $2,740 in May 2020 – down by 5.6 per cent compared to May 2019.